2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions, expert picks, odds, golf best bets, field rankings at Bay Hill

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The Florida Swing kicks into high gear this week as a world-class field steps foot onto Bay Hill Club & Lodge for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. In fact, not since the 2022 Open at St. Andrews has such a collection of names competed together as 44 of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Rankings will participate in the first designated event on the East Coast.

World No. 1 Jon Rahm headlines the action. seeking his fourth victory of 2023. Raising the trophy in five of his last nine worldwide starts, the Spaniard will attempt to keep up with his winning ways in only his second career start at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele are among the game’s elite to make a rare showing at Bay Hill. With only two appearances between them, this trio of Americans will try to mirror the success of their Presidents Cup and Ryder Cup teammate, Scottie Scheffler.

Scheffler, the defending Arnold Palmer Invitational champion, tracked down Viktor Hovland and Billy Horschel over the final few holes to claim his second career title last year. With his win, Scheffler joined other big names such as Bryson DeChambeau, Tyrrell Hatton, Francesco Molinari, Rory McIlroy, Jason Day and Tiger Woods (8x) to don the iconic red cardigan.

Event information

Event: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational | Dates: Mar. 2-5
Location: Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill Club & Lodge — Orlando, FL
Par: 72 | Yardage: 7,466 | Purse: $20,000,000

2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field, odds

Odds via Caesars Sportsbook

  • Jon Rahm (6-1)
  • Rory McIlroy (17/2): If there is a horse for the course it is the world No. 3. In eight appearances, McIlroy has six top-15 finishes, a victory in 2018 and has finished no worse than T27. He arrives off a middling West Coast Swing that failed to produce a top-20 result and saw him relinquish the world No. 1 ranking. Given the runs made by Rahm and Scheffler, it is easy to forget how consistently good McIlroy has been with four victories in his last 15 worldwide starts.
  • Scottie Scheffler (9-1)
  • Max Homa (16-1)
  • Viktor Hovland (18-1): A final-round 74 was Hovland’s undoing a season ago as he appeared prime to enter the winner’s circle at Arnie’s place. His short-game shortcomings came through at the worst of times as his bunker play allowed Scheffler to zip past him down the stretch. There was a moment towards the end of 2022 where Hovland looked to have figured out these inconsistencies, but his performance on the West Coast suggests otherwise.
  • Will Zalatoris (18-1)
  • Collin Morikawa (20-1): Morikawa’s last win in the United States came in Florida roughly two years ago. He is on the cusp of breaking this drought with his iron play trending to new heights. The two-time major champion nabbed a top-10 result here in 2020 in his first appearance as a professional, but forecasted winds may throw his chances for a loop.
  • Justin Thomas (20-1)
  • Tony Finau (22-1): He has notched seven straight top-20 finishes and will try to carry this early season momentum into preparations for the 2023 Masters. Unfortunately for the 33-year-old, he only has two career top-20 finishes in Florida as he tends to struggle with these grass types. But Finau arrives this year with a new-found confidence, so it wouldn’t come as a surprise if he successfully navigates this portion of schedule.
  • Xander Schauffele (22-1)
  • Patrick Cantlay (22-1): The 30-year-old will be making his tournament debut. The state of Florida has not been a fixture on Cantlay’s playing schedule; this marks his first non-Players Championship start in the Sunshine State since the 2017 Valspar Championship. He arrives off a podium finish at the Genesis Invitational where he ranked first in strokes gained tee to green.

2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational expert picks

Who will win the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard and best bets, all from the model that’s nailed eight golf majors and is up over $8,300 since June 2020.

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