Best NBA Player Props: Starting Centers in Over Their Heads? (March 2)

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Welcome to OddsShopper’s NBA player props article, where Greg Ehrenberg brings you the latest insights and analysis on the hottest basketball stars in the league. With the regular season heating up and the playoffs just around the corner, now is the perfect time to get in on the action and make some smart bets. Plus, don’t forget to take advantage of our exclusive 50% discount on your first week at Greg’s premium betting Discord for even more expert advice.

Best NBA Bets for Thursday | Kevon Looney

Kevon Looney O/U 10.5 Rebounds

This bet is currently offered at plus money, which means that there is value in betting on Looney to grab fewer than 10.5 rebounds. Looney is not playing a major role for the Warriors right now, even though he is starting. In recent games, he has played 20 to 32 minutes per game, and tonight he is projected to play in the low 20s. For the season, he averages nine rebounds per game in 23.5 minutes. Therefore, it is a stretch to assume that he will be able to grab more than 10 rebounds in this spot.

Furthermore, Looney’s rebound rate has been significantly higher in a reserve role than when he starts. This is because he plays against better competition when he starts, going up against other players who are also better rebounders. Additionally, the Warriors starting lineup includes players like Draymond Green and Klay Thompson, who are also good rebounders. For these reasons, Looney averages more rebounds per game coming off the bench in fewer minutes than he does when he starts and plays more minutes.

Best NBA Bet: Kevon Looney UNDER 10.5 Rebounds (+100) at DraftKings

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Ivica Zubac O/U 9.5 Points

This pick is correlated with our first pick, as the Warriors and Clippers will play small ball against each other. Zubac is a traditional center who could struggle in such a matchup, as he may not get as many touches in the paint.

Zubac has been inconsistent this season in terms of scoring. He averages 8.8 points per game but has scored fewer than 9 points in 22 of his 41 games this season. In the Clippers’ last game against the Jazz, Zubac scored only 2 points in 24 minutes. While he has had some big scoring games this season, it is more likely that he will score fewer than 9.5 points in this game against the Warriors.

Best NBA Bet: Ivica Zubac Under 9.5 Points (-110) at Unibet

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